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AMBIGUITY IF THE PROPORTION IS 0% OR 100%.Shortcut when the numerator is zero: The rule of three.
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How to compute the modified Wald method by hand.ARE YOU QUANTIFYING THE EVENT YOU CARE ABOUT?.Assumption: Random (or representative) sample.THE BINOMIAL DISTRIBUTION: FROM POPULATION TO SAMPLE.WHAT IF YOUR SAMPLE IS THE ENTIRE POPULATION?.Mistake: Believing that probability has a memory.Mistake: Reversing probability statements.Mistake: Trying to understand a probability without clearly defining both the numerator and the deno.CALCULATIONS WITH PROBABILITIES CAN BE EASIER IF YOU SWITCH TO CALCULATING WITH WHOLE NUMBERS.Quantitative predictions of one-time events.“Probabilities” used to quantify ignorance.Probabilities as predictions from a model.WE CRAVE CERTAINTY, BUT STATISTICS OFFERS PROBABILITIES.WE LET OUR BIASES DETERMINE HOW WE INTERPRET DATA.WE ARE FOOLED BY REGRESSION TO THE MEAN.WE TEND TO IGNORE ALTERNATIVE EXPLANATIONS.WE DON’T DO BAYESIAN CALCULATIONS INTUITIVELY.WE FIND IT HARD TO COMBINE PROBABILITIES.WE HAVE INCORRECT INTUITIVE FEELINGS ABOUT PROBABILITY.WE DON’T EXPECT VARIABILITY TO DEPEND ON SAMPLE SIZE.WE DON’T REALIZE THAT COINCIDENCES ARE COMMON.Statistics and Probability Are Not Intuitive What happened to the problems and answers?.List of new topics in the fourth edition.What was new in the second and third editions?.Includes topics omitted from many texts.Intuitive Biostatistics: A Nonmathematical Guide to Statistical Thinking.With an engaging and conversational tone, Intuitive Biostatistics provides a clear introduction to statistics for undergraduate and graduate students and also serves as a statistics refresher for working scientists. The text is also an excellent resource for professionals in labs, acting as a conceptually oriented and accessible biostatistics guide. This makes the text especially useful for those in health-science fields who have not taken a biostatistics course before. Intuitive Biostatistics takes a non-technical, non-quantitative approach to statistics and emphasizes interpretation of statistical results rather than the computational strategies for generating statistical data.
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